In the midst of the turmoil over the Selangor Menteri Besar’s position and the adamance of PAS to rally behind PKR’s Khalid Ibrahim who has failed to obtain the support of PKR, MP Tony Pua predicts an ousting of PAS from Selangor were matters to escalate.

While PKR has delivered a vote of no confidence against Khalid as the Selangor MB, with DAP fully backing PKR’s decision, PAS’ decision to endorse Khalid Ibrahim would spell doom for the PAS in Selangor, Tony Pua said.

“PAS’s insistence to support  Khalid Ibrahim will inevitably lead to a snap election which will only cause PAS to lose most, if not all of their hard-won seats, and in all likelihood hand Selangor back to UMNO on a silver platter,” Pua also said that Khalid Ibrahim will likely have his request to hold snap elections in Selangor consented by the Selangor Sultan.

“If both PKR and DAP were to suffer a 3 percent and 10 percent drop in Malay and non-Malay votes respectively, we will suffer a combined loss of 7 seats out of 30 contested.  They are Batu Tiga, Ijok, Kota Anggerik, Taman Medan and Pelabuhan Kelang for PKR, Kuala Kubu Baru and Sg Pelek for DAP.  This will leave PKR and DAP with 10 and 13 seats respectively,” Pua added

He said even in the most optimistic scenario, PAS would lose 7 of the 15 seats it won the last elections assuming only a 15 percent drop in non-Muslim voters. According to Pua, these 7 are the most vulnerable seats which are Sabak, Gombak Setia, Dusun Tua, Selat Klang, Sijangkang, Morib and Tanjong Sepat.

The Petaling Jaya Utara MP says that it will be more likely that the non-Muslim votes would drop by 25 percent given the controversies involving PAS preceding the election. Then, PAS will also lose Taman Templer, Hulu Kelang, Lembah Jaya, Seri Serdang and Paya Jaras, leaving them with only 3 seats in the state assembly.

The 3 seats left; Chempaka, Bangi and Meru are “not safe” , Pua said, explaining that if the Malay votes were to drop by a mere 5 percent,  and the non – Malay votes drop by 30 percent, then PAS would be completely wiped out in the state of Selangor.

“It will be very unlikely for Pakatan Rakyat – if the coalition still exists in the snap election, to retain power in the state.  The biggest winner will be UMNO, returning with up to 30 seats in the State Assembly,” citing the aforementioned scenarios where Pakatan Rakyat, especially PAS, would be the losers in Selangor were they to carry on with their stand, as is UMNO’s, to maintain Khalid Ibrahim as MB of Selangor.

“We hope that our comrades in PAS will be able to fully come on board the spirit of the coalition, for us to jointly deliver our Pakatan principles and promises to the rakyat of Selangor and prevent the aspirations of the people from being snuffed out before it has a chance of being realised,” Pua said. -The Rocket